tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-144904642024-03-07T13:12:02.080-08:00TechnoUtopiaStuff I find interesting.J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.comBlogger316125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-76972187283218478992009-04-19T06:39:00.000-07:002009-04-19T06:39:36.062-07:00Current Chaos Manor mail<a href="http://www.jerrypournelle.com/mail/2009/Q2/mail566.html#Friday">Jerry Pournelle</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>"Aside from the fact that amalgamating many inefficient bureaucracies into one multiplies not divides the inefficiencies - efficient government is not an overriding concern of mine - centralizing power to meet a crisis leaves the centralized power available for abuse long after the crisis is forgotten. The chances that a future Democrat administration would disband DHS and repeal Patriot Act were patently zero even at the time. Expand, politicize, and abuse now are the order of the day, and I am not surprised in the least.<br /><br />Both major parties seem now irredeemably statist."</blockquote><br /><br />The sad truth.J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-53971353185195111372009-03-17T19:40:00.001-07:002009-03-17T19:40:53.958-07:00Devoe’s at Beth’s Wedding<p> </p> <p>Right to Left:  Me, Mom, cousin Lori, Amy, cousin Cathrine. </p> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQf6Ec1iWczkySPXeqoWFu3PoOSW_KMWAw84ie933J5huR8cAmviq3_nMEOduSTN0oJ68avlaVtW3aSyW10YEFdGd6D6ix4h1AzOoHWF7SqaJz3JN1jLsGFOiFK81pQJKHbEmn/s1600-h/IMG_5536%5B2%5D.jpg"><img style="border-bottom: 0px; border-left: 0px; display: inline; border-top: 0px; border-right: 0px" title="IMG_5536" border="0" alt="IMG_5536" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg2jU37Tw8xpIwpFf-qtUeGcn6i0s4xMdMUuEMTVEKE-G9sf0zqLU1g2YrsaFjPxv5bH77unvce7E6-l7yHAONNljLfte-pOTvQRi2BzZN1RuIsJ5sdnBPd4-GYgs9y8H3PsNTm/?imgmax=800" width="244" height="164" /></a> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-65698087728369363192009-03-08T14:09:00.001-07:002009-03-08T14:09:52.528-07:00Information Arbitrage<p> </p> <blockquote>And given the macroeconomic risks posed by the stimulus package, I think it makes sense to spend some time thinking about how all this spending will be paid for. Raising taxes? A bad idea from a policy perspective, as well as a shrinking well from which to tap due to the sharp downturn in our economy. Lower incomes. Smaller corporate profits. Fewer capital gains. All of these point to a sharp reduction in tax revenues, and the tax increases President Obama has in store will nary make a dent, and may well cost more than they generate over time. We could cut spending. One thing we can take away from the annual budget process is that true cuts, net reductions in spending, almost never stick. If this is where we are placing our hope we are living in fantasy-land. So the only other place money can come from is if we manufacture it. Sell Treasuries. Borrow and spend. The Great American Pastime.</blockquote> <p><a href="http://www.google.com/ig">iGoogle</a></p> <p>Yeah, which is why I believe inflation is coming down the road – maybe a few years out, but coming surely.  big time.</p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-57058773549647152182009-03-05T04:51:00.001-08:002009-03-05T04:51:19.523-08:00Democrats urge Obama to veto spending bill - CNN.com<p> </p> <blockquote> <p>The legislation includes $7.7 billion in earmarks, which are unrelated pet projects that members of Congress insert in spending bills.</p> <p>Sen. Evan Bayh, D-Indiana, said those who vote in favor of the bill "jeopardize their credibility."</p> <p>"But the bloated omnibus requires sacrifice from no one, least of all the government. It only exacerbates the problem and hastens the day of reckoning," Bayh wrote in a Wall Street Journal editorial published Wednesday. </p> <p>"Voters rightly demanded change in November's election, but this approach to spending represents business as usual in Washington, not the voters' mandate."</p> <p>During the election season, Bayh was considered one of the front-runners to be Obama's vice president.</p> </blockquote> <p><a href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/03/04/spending.earmarks/index.html?iref=mpstoryview">Democrats urge Obama to veto spending bill - CNN.com</a></p> <p>Too bad he didn’t get the nod – i like where his mind’s at.</p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-37199263467291118732009-03-03T04:57:00.001-08:002009-03-03T04:57:16.341-08:00George F. Will: FDR's Sweater Fable<p> </p> <blockquote> <p>The stimulus legislation, a.k.a. No Social Worker Left Behind, offers financial incentives for states to enlarge their welfare rolls. This looks like the beginning of a semi-stealthy repeal of the 1996 welfare reform. So it goes, as government, with a confidence disconnected from its current performance, toils to make more and more people more and more dependent on it.</p> <p>In one wee particular, congressional Democrats want to shrink government. At the behest of the teachers' unions, the $410 billion omnibus spending bill dooms a $14 million (a rounding error on GM's bailout) scholarship program that enables 1,800 children, mostly low-income and minorities, to escape the District of Columbia's catastrophic public schools. But sinking this lifeboat for the poor serves liberalism's dependency agenda: No poor child left outside the government's education plantation.</p> </blockquote> <p><a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/186952/page/2">Newsweek Voices - George F. Will | Newsweek.com</a></p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-67008966355965017172009-03-01T15:59:00.001-08:002009-03-01T15:59:32.532-08:00Paul Kedrosky: First We Kill All the Economists, Part XXIV<p> </p> <blockquote>Defining away the most prevalent economic problems of modern economies and failing to communicate the limitations and assumptions of its popular models, the economics profession bears some responsibility for the current crisis. It has failed in its duty to society to provide as much insight as possible into the workings of the economy and in providing warnings about the tools it created. It has also been reluctant to emphasize the limitations of its analysis. We believe that the failure to even envisage the current problems of the worldwide financial system and the inability of standard macro and finance models to provide any insight into ongoing events make a strong case for a major reorientation in these areas and a reconsideration of their basic premises</blockquote> <p><a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2009/03/01/first_we_kill_a_1.html">Paul Kedrosky: First We Kill All the Economists, Part XXIV</a></p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-18742318066002403462009-02-22T05:44:00.001-08:002009-02-22T05:44:24.070-08:00Death of the California Dream<p> </p> <blockquote> <p>Gentry liberalism reflects the narcissistic values of successful boomers and their offspring; their politics are all about them. In the past this was tied as much to cultural issues, like gay rights (itself a noble cause) and public support for the arts. More recently, the dominant issue revolves around environmentalism… Yet in recent years, the green agenda has expanded well beyond that of the old conservationists like Theodore Roosevelt, who battled to preserve wilderness but also cared deeply about boosting productivity and living standards for the working classes… the modern environmental movement often adopts a largely misanthropic view of humans as a "cancer" that needs to be contained. By their very nature, the greens tend to regard growth as an unalloyed evil, gobbling up resources and spewing planet-heating greenhouse gases.</p> <p>…For such people, the crusade against global warming makes a convenient foil in arguing against anything that might bring industrial or any other kind of middle-wage growth to the state. Greens here often speak movingly about the earth — but also about their personal redemption. They have engaged a legal and regulatory process that provides the wealthy and their progeny an opportunity to act out their desire to "make a difference" — often without real concern for the outcome.</p> </blockquote> <p><a href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/00612-death-california-dream">Death of the California Dream | Newgeography.com</a></p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-76500791581217996142009-02-21T13:38:00.001-08:002009-02-21T13:38:25.855-08:00Via Instapundit<p> </p> <blockquote>If progressives now believe that they overreached in condemning Bush, they should make this clear. If progressives simply wanted to drum Republicans out of power, they have made a mockery of the very values they claim to embrace.</blockquote> <p><a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/70675/">Instapundit » Blog Archive » NEW YORK TIMES: Obama Widens Missile Strikes Inside Pakistan. Question: “Wouldn’t it have saved…</a></p> <p>They’re <em><strong>all</strong></em> weasels.</p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-28451503381316336142009-02-20T13:15:00.001-08:002009-02-20T13:15:31.181-08:00Vision-Aided Navigation<blockquote> <p> The key towards achieving real-time performance is the derivation of a novel measurement model,  which expresses these constraints without including the 3D feature position in the filter state vector.  The resulting EKF-based estimation algorithm is capable of high-precision, real-time pose estimation, and thus can employed in demanding applications such as UAV localization, vision-aided navigation for precise spacecraft landing, tracking the pose of mobile robots, etc.</p> </blockquote> <p><a href="http://www.ee.ucr.edu/~mourikis/index.html?http%3A//www.ee.ucr.edu/%7Emourikis/project_pages/vision_INS.htm">Anastasios Mourikis Homepage</a></p> <p> </p> <p>This is pretty cool.</p> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-55240952369882170202008-08-21T06:50:00.000-07:002008-08-21T06:51:37.071-07:00Fat and Fit?<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; line-height:18.0pt'><em><span style='font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'>Several studies from researchers at the Cooper Institute in Dallas have shown that fitness — determined by how a person performs on a treadmill — is a far better indicator of health than body mass index. In several studies, the researchers have shown that people who are fat but can still keep up on treadmill tests have much lower heart risk than people who are slim and unfit.<o:p></o:p></span></em></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; line-height:18.0pt'><em><span style='font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'>In December, a study in The Journal of the American Medical Association looked at death rates among 2,600 adults 60 and older over 12 years. Notably, death rates among the overweight, those with a B.M.I. of 25 to 30, were slightly lower than in normal weight adults. Death rates were highest among those with a B.M.I. of 35 or more.<o:p></o:p></span></em></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; line-height:18.0pt'><em><span style='font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'>But the most striking finding was that fitness level, regardless of body mass index, was the strongest predictor of mortality risk. Those with the lowest level of fitness, as measured on treadmill tests, were four times as likely to die during the 12-year study than those with the highest level of fitness. Even those who had just a minimal level of fitness had half the risk of dying compared with those who were least fit. <o:p></o:p></span></em></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; line-height:18.0pt'><em><span style='font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'>During the test, the treadmill moved at a brisk walking pace as the grade increased each minute. In the study, it didn’t take much to qualify as fit. For men, it meant staying on the treadmill at least 8 minutes; for women, 5.5 minutes. The people who fell below those levels, whether fat or thin, were at highest risk.<o:p></o:p></span></em></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; line-height:18.0pt'><em><span style='font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'>The results were adjusted to control for age, <a href="http://health.nytimes.com/health/guides/specialtopic/smoking-and-smokeless-tobacco/overview.html?inline=nyt-classifier" title="In-depth reference and news articles about Smoking."><span style='color:windowtext;text-decoration:none'>smoking</span></a> and underlying heart problems and still showed that fitness, not weight, was most important in predicting mortality risk.<o:p></o:p></span></em></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>Link: <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/19/health/19well.html?_r=2&em&oref=slogin&oref=slogin">http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/19/health/19well.html?_r=2&em&oref=slogin&oref=slogin</a><o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-3299500053670126932008-08-01T12:28:00.001-07:002008-08-01T12:29:00.082-07:00Photo face recognition and tagging<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoQuote><a href="http://get.live.com"><span style='font-size:9.0pt; font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"'>Windows Live Photo Gallery</span></a> will offer a new version of their software – one that will automatically identify faces! The faces in the photos will be able to be identified with tags, which will make the whole tagging process a lot easier to do – since the software will do it for you.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"; color:#3A4E68'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"; color:#3A4E68'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"; color:#3A4E68'>Awesome, bring it Micro$oft.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"; color:#3A4E68'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI","sans-serif"; color:#3A4E68'>Link:<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><a href="http://on10.net/blogs/sarahintampa/Windows-Live-Photo-Gallery-Will-Recognize-Faces/">http://on10.net/blogs/sarahintampa/Windows-Live-Photo-Gallery-Will-Recognize-Faces/</a><o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-69125492894705483112008-07-28T12:18:00.001-07:002008-07-28T12:18:44.589-07:00Hayak irrelevant?<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='color:black'>It is also true that full-blown economic central planning has a lot less support among left-wing intellectuals today than fifty or sixty years ago. Nonetheless, Hayek's ideas are far more relevant to our time than Larner thinks. <o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><b><span style='color:black'>I. The Persistence of Central Planning in Left-Wing Thought.</span></b><span style='color:black'><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='color:black'>Although the modern mainstream left no longer favors central planning of the entire economy, many left-wingers do favor government control of large parts of the economic system. Most European leftists and a good many American ones favor government control of the health care industry, which constitutes some 10-15% of the economy in advanced industrialized society. Some forms of government planning are favored not only by left-wingers but also by many moderates and conservatives. For example, government owns and operates some 90% of the schools in Western Europe and the United States. However much we take public education for granted, it still represents the socialization of a vast swathe of the economy. <o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='color:black'>In addition, <a href="http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2007_05_27-2007_06_02.shtml#1180426706">many mainstream liberals such as Cass Sunstein and Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer (as well as some conservatives and moderates) favor giving broad regulatory authority to "expert" government bureaucrats</a>. This is not quite the same thing as government ownership of large enterprises. But it has important ideological affinities with it, to the extent that both policies rely on central planning by expert government bureaucrats. Hayek's arguments in "The Use of Knowledge in Society" are certainly relevant as potential critiques of these various forms of planning - both those that involve government ownership of large enterprises in health care and education and those that rely on regulations administered by expert bureaucrats. If Hayek is right, all these planners and experts don't know as much as they think they do, and certainly can't aggregate knowledge as effectively as the free market can.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='color:black'>Finally, it's worth noting that even full-blown socialism isn't as completely dead as Larner assumes. For details, see <a href="http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2007_09_02-2007_09_08.shtml#1189226486">my September 2007 post on "Why the Debate Over Socialism Isn't Over."</a><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; text-indent:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='color:black'>Fundamentally, most liberals and leftists still look to the state to plan large portions of the economy and other aspects of our lives. So too do many conservatives and moderates, as witness <a href="http://www.volokh.com/posts/1146756572.shtml">the rise of "big government conservatism" under George W. Bush</a>. Today's advocates of government planning are more modest in their ambitions than the mid-twentieth century socialists whom Hayek criticized. But they are not modest enough to make his arguments irrelevant.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>Via Instapundit.<o:p></o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-54054778280941458622008-06-20T13:04:00.000-07:002008-06-20T13:05:01.114-07:00BO -- a study in cold-blooded hypocrisy<div class=Section1> <p style='line-height:18.0pt'><span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Georgia","serif"'>NYTimes’ David Brooks article:</span> <span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Georgia","serif"'><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/opinion/20brooks.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/opinion/20brooks.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p style='line-height:18.0pt'><span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Georgia","serif"'>“Barack Obama has worked on political reform more than any other issue. He aspires to be to political reform what Bono is to fighting disease in Africa. He’s spent much of his career talking about how much he believes in public financing. In January 2007, he told Larry King that the public-financing system works. In February 2007, he challenged Republicans to limit their spending and vowed to do so along with them if he were the nominee. In February 2008, he said he would aggressively pursue spending limits. He answered a Midwest Democracy Network questionnaire by reminding everyone that he has been a longtime advocate of the public-financing system. <o:p></o:p></span></p> <p style='line-height:18.0pt'><span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Georgia","serif"'>But Thursday, at the first breath of political inconvenience, Fast Eddie Obama threw public financing under the truck. In so doing, he probably dealt a death-blow to the cause of campaign-finance reform. And the only thing that changed between Thursday and when he lauded the system is that Obama’s got more money now.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p style='line-height:18.0pt'><span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Georgia","serif"'>And Fast Eddie Obama didn’t just sell out the primary cause of his life. He did it with style. He did it with a video so risibly insincere that somewhere down in the shadow world, Lee Atwater is gaping and applauding. Obama blamed the (so far marginal) Republican 527s. He claimed that private donations are really public financing. He made a cut-throat political calculation seem like Mother Teresa’s final steps to sainthood.”<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-15903123809301946532008-06-20T11:32:00.001-07:002008-08-24T14:25:50.108-07:00Cool MIT Solar Energy Project<div class="Section1"> <p class="MsoPlainText">Sun-power:<o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoPlainText"><a href="http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2008/solar-dish-0618.html">http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2008/solar-dish-0618.html</a><o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoPlainText">Man I want to build one of these things in my back yard. Then if my neighbors are too loud and annoying I could torch their home.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoPlainText"><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class="MsoPlainText">“Dude, I’m in ur base, burnin ur stuffz”<o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p> </div>J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-37201719436666289442008-05-06T11:23:00.001-07:002008-05-06T11:23:23.744-07:00<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoPlainText> “The most dramatic evidence, however, emerged last week with an announcement by Nasa's Jet Propulsion Laboratory that an immense slow-cycling movement of water in the Pacific, known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), had unexpectedly shifted into its cool phase, something which only happens every 30 years or so, ultimately affecting climate all over the globe. <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>Discussion of this on the invaluable Watts Up With That <<a href="http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/</a>> website, run by the US meteorologist Anthony Watts, shows how the alternations of the PDO between warm and cool coincided with each of the major temperature shifts of the 20th century - warming after 1905, cooling after 1946, warming again after 1977 - and how the new shift to a cool phase could have repercussions for decades to come.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>It is notable that the German computer predictions published last week by Nature forecast a decade of cooling due to deep-ocean movements in the Atlantic, without taking account of how this may now be reinforced by a similar, even greater movement in the Pacific. <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>Mr Watts points out that the West coast of the USA might already be experiencing these effects in the recent freezing temperatures that have devastated orchards and vineyards in California, prompting an appeal for disaster relief for growers who fear they may have lost this year's crops. <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>Mr Watts's readers are amused by the explanation from one warmist apologist that "these natural climate phenomena can sometimes hide global warming caused by human activities - or they can have the opposite effect of accentuating it".<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>It is striking, in view of the colossal implications of the current response to "the greatest challenge confronting mankind" - as our politicians love to call it - how this hugely important debate is almost entirely overlooked by the media, and is instead conducted largely on the internet, through expert websites such as those run by Mr McIntyre and Mr Watts.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>On one hand our politicians are committing us to spending unimaginable sums on wind farms, emissions trading schemes, absurdly ambitious biofuel targets, and every kind of tax and regulation designed to reduce our "carbon footprint" - all based on blindly accepting the predictions of computer models that the planet is overheating due to our output of greenhouse gases. <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>On the other hand, a growing number of scientists are producing ever more evidence to show how those computer models are based on wholly inadequate data and assumptions - as is being confirmed by the behaviour of nature itself (not least the continuing non-arrival of sunspot cycle 24).<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>The fact is that what has been happening to the world's climate in recent years, since global temperatures ceased to rise after 1998, was not predicted by any of those officially-sponsored models. The discrepancy between their predictions and observable data becomes more glaring with every month that passes.”<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>Link. <<a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2008/05/04/do0405.xml">http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2008/05/04/do0405.xml</a>> <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoPlainText>I don’t know why I even bother posting this stuff … its become so trivially obvious that global warming alarmism is totally unfounded and lacks any truly scientific basis. Apparently there is a large time lag between this obviousness and the understanding of our society’s elites in politics and the media: maybe in 5 or 6 years we’ll start hearing the media talking heads mentioning our current cooling phase and the substantial body of literature questioning the current greenhouse-warming-is-everything orthodoxy.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-12660025733886240652008-05-05T07:03:00.001-07:002008-05-05T07:03:13.449-07:00cool little MS office add-in for recording actions<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal><a href="http://communityclips.officelabs.com/download.aspx">Link</a>.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-91156412167801291102008-05-01T07:57:00.001-07:002008-05-01T07:57:36.785-07:00<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal>“<span lang=EN>In 2004 Americans who called themselves “conservative” or “very conservative” were nearly twice as likely to tell pollsters they were “very happy” as those who considered themselves “liberal” or “very liberal” (44% versus 25%). One might think this was because liberals were made wretched by George Bush. But the data show that American conservatives have been consistently happier than liberals for at least 35 years. <o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN>This is not because they are richer; they are not. Mr Brooks thinks three factors are important. Conservatives are twice as likely as liberals to be married and twice as likely to attend church every week. Married, religious people are more likely than secular singles to be happy. They are also more likely to have children, which makes Mr Brooks confident that the next generation will be at least as happy as the current one. <o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN>When religious and political differences are combined, the results are striking. Secular liberals are as likely to say they are “not too happy” as to say they are very happy (22% to 22%). Religious conservatives are ten times more likely to report being very happy than not too happy (50% to 5%). Religious liberals are about as happy as secular conservatives.”<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN><a href="http://www.economist.com/world/na/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10924082">Link</a>.</span><span lang=EN style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-31242005443326229732008-04-25T11:58:00.001-07:002008-04-25T11:58:43.774-07:00<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal>“Newt Gingrich seems to have signed on to "doing the right thing" by preserving the environment, but no actual program to do anything that would make a difference as opposed to making Al Gore richer.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>At the moment the entire Global Warming crisis seems largely intended to keep Al Gore rich. It may or may not do something else. It does seem to be good at creating famine.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>We can't use nuclear and now Obama says we can't use coal. We can't drill offshore. There is no proof that Global Warming is real, lots of proof that we don't know enough and before we spend a lot on a "remedy" we need to get more data on what the problem is; and accepting Pelosi's premise that we need to be involved in this "debate" on "what to do about Global Warming" is already to concede that which ought not be conceded.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>Apparently Newt has stopped reading me. I'll have to see if I can fix that.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>We should not be spending a nickel on doing something about Global Warming. We should be spending a good bit on gathering data about just what is happening to the climate; and until we are certain what the problem is, "doing something" is silly. ‘’<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Amen Brotha.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href="http://jerrypournelle.com/view/2008/Q2/view515.html#Thursday">Link.</a><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-90230773661661976922008-04-24T09:52:00.000-07:002008-04-24T11:49:04.084-07:00Make $100 Large on YouTube or metacafe<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/23/technology/23howto.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1">Link</a>.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>“Mr. Kedersha’s online library of 94 videos includes tips on how to chill a Coke in two minutes, simulate a gunshot wound and start up a PC quickly. <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=MsoNormal>Many of the clips have been played hundreds of thousands of times, turning Mr. Kedersha into the top earner on Metacafe, a video-sharing Web site that pays the makers of popular videos. In little more than a year, the site has written him checks totaling $102,000.”<o:p></o:p></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-85459852828306525682008-04-20T05:32:00.000-07:002008-04-20T05:33:24.236-07:00Ballerina wanna-be :)<a href="http://willandemilycurtis.blogspot.com/2008/04/jessica-loves-to-dance.html">Video of Jessica Dancing.</a>J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-28015317602017571152008-04-17T06:55:00.001-07:002008-04-19T12:17:51.725-07:00Obama on religion and guns<blockquote>"The winner of the Democratic primary is always the candidate who does the best impersonation of an American.”</blockquote>Say what you will, but Ann is sometimes very witty.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.townhall.com/columnists/AnnCoulter/2008/04/17/obama_woos_gun-toting_god_nuts">Link. </a>J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-29440351703667372402008-04-15T09:30:00.001-07:002008-04-15T09:30:39.538-07:00Coca Cola -- a good hydration system after all<div class=Section1> <p><i><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt; font-style:italic'>In his review, “Caffeine, Body Fluid-Electrolyte Balance, and Exercise Performance,” <st1:City w:st="on">Lawrence</st1:City> E. Armstrong, a professor of exercise physiology at the <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceType w:st="on">University</st1:PlaceType> of <st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Connecticut</st1:PlaceName></st1:place> disproves the notion that caffeinated beverages rob us of our precious fluids. By reviewing the scientific research on the subject, he concludes that although caffeine, like water, is a mild diuresis (it increases excretion of urine), moderate caffeine consumption does not produce a “fluid-electrolyte imbalance” that can affect health or exercise performance. Furthermore, we retain roughly the same amount of fluid after drinking a caffeinated beverage as we do after drinking water. <o:p></o:p></span></font></i></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto' _extended=true><i><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt;font-style:italic'>Even more encouraging for habitual coffee consumers is the finding that those with caffeine tolerance have reduced likelihood that a fluid electrolyte imbalance will occur. The more regular your caffeine habit, the more fluid your body is conditioned to retain.<o:p></o:p></span></font></i></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Long Live Diet Vanilla Coke!<o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Link: http://www.divinecaroline.com/article/22178/46361-coffee-makes-dehydrated--say-what-<o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt; font-family:Arial'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-62136968567450875532008-04-15T09:22:00.001-07:002008-04-15T09:22:44.259-07:00The Science of Lying and Cheating<div class=Section1> <p style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:3.0pt;margin-bottom:1.5pt; margin-left:0in'><i><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt;font-style:italic'>For example, he gave people a test consisting of very easy math questions--but without giving them nearly enough time to finish. On average, people got four right out of 20. Then he had people take the test, score it themselves, shred the answer sheet and tell him how they did. Suddenly the average jumped to seven. <br> <br> <o:p></o:p></span></font></i></p> <p style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:3.0pt;margin-bottom:1.5pt; margin-left:0in'><i><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt;font-style:italic'>He repeated the experiment, paying people according to how many right answers they got. Same result. "Everybody cheated, but just a little." Even when there was no chance of getting caught--the evidence was shredded and participants paid themselves from a jar of money with over $100--nobody claimed 20 right answers. They just padded their results by a bit. <br> <br> But then he tried another variation: Before doing the test, he asked one group of subjects to name 10 books they had read in high school. He asked another group to name as many of the Ten Commandments as they could remember. The group that listed the books followed the same pattern as the earlier test--they all cheated a little. But the group that named the commandments was different: Nobody cheated at all! <br> <br> "<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Just the act of contemplating morality eliminated cheating</span></b>," Ariely explains. </span></font></i><br> <br> <o:p></o:p></p> </span> <p style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:3.0pt;margin-bottom:1.5pt; margin-left:0in'><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p> <p style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:3.0pt;margin-bottom:1.5pt; margin-left:0in'><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt'>Which is what going to church or reading the bible regularly is really all about, right?<o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:3.0pt;margin-bottom:1.5pt; margin-left:0in'><b><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt;font-weight:bold'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></b></p> <p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt'>Link: http://www.physorg.com/news127399170.html<o:p></o:p></span></font></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-46587001917194294172008-04-14T08:21:00.001-07:002008-04-14T08:21:16.463-07:00Record Breaking Low Temperatures here ...<div class=Section1> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'>The Florida Panhandle may experience record-breaking lows Monday night, as a strong high pressure area moves in from the plains, according to the National Weather Service in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Mobile</st1:place></st1:City>. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'>The overnight low record for Tuesday is 41 degrees. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'>“It’s going to be near records along the immediate coast,” said meteorologist Joe Maniscalco. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'>Monday is expected to be breezy, with temperatures dropping further in the evening. As the week continues, temperatures will continue to rise. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'>“The normal temperatures we would see in April over the Panhandle would be 76 for a high and 57 for a low,” he said. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p> <p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.75pt;margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:7.5pt;margin-left:0in;text-indent:11.25pt;line-height:15.0pt; background:white'><b><font size=2 face=Georgia><span style='font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Georgia;font-weight:bold'>Must be global warming.<o:p></o:p></span></font></b></p> <p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt; font-family:Arial'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p> </div> J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14490464.post-68093352514690903142008-04-06T12:50:00.000-07:002008-04-06T13:59:50.907-07:00new camcorder baby clapping<iframe allowfullscreen='allowfullscreen' webkitallowfullscreen='webkitallowfullscreen' mozallowfullscreen='mozallowfullscreen' width='320' height='266' src='https://www.blogger.com/video.g?token=AD6v5dwoy2sWxhltNfFPbBPS8sYK-ZPrLA0H0rdKZK_RoLgYr_CBsaQTDvNniAukCb3sdvOl5PDoLhUkdbg' class='b-hbp-video b-uploaded' frameborder='0'></iframe>J. Willard Curtishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01288028890046999258noreply@blogger.com1